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Technical Analysis – AUDNZD reverses lower after reaching 2-year high



AUDNZD hit a two-year peak in August near 1.1140, but met fierce resistance and has been grinding lower since then. While the short-term picture seems negative, the broader uptrend that started in March remains in place as long as the price holds above 1.0565 and the 200-day simple moving average (SMA).

Momentum-oscillators echo the cautiously negative picture in the short-run. The RSI is below 50 and is pointing down, while the MACD is moving deeper into its negative territory.

If bearish pressures persist, the first barrier to the downside might be the 1.0750 hurdle, a violation of which would turn the spotlight to 1.0670. If this region fails to hold as well, then support may be found near the crossroads of the 1.0565 zone and the 200-day SMA, currently at 1.0580. Lower still, worries of a trend reversal would mount, opening the door for the 1.0480 area.

Should buyers retake the wheel, they would have to overcome the 1.0820 territory first. If so, the 1.0900 handle could next come into play, defined by the inside swing low in late August. Another bullish violation would turn the focus to the recent peak of 1.0935.

In short, while this correction may continue for now, it will not be considered a trend reversal until the 1.0565 zone and the 200-day SMA break.

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