Prices rangebound amid geopolitical risk, strong inventories
LONDON, Oct 9 (Reuters) -Dutch and British wholesale gas prices were little changed on Wednesday morning, trading in a tight range, amid strong storage inventories and mild weather but geopolitical tensions continue to keep the market nervous.
The benchmark front-month contract TRNLTTFMc1 at the Dutch TTF hub was flat at 38.60 euros per megawatt hour (MWh), or $12.60 per mmBtu, by 0900 GMT, LSEG data showed.
The December contract TRNLTTFMc2 rose by 0.15 euros to 39.40 euros/MWh.
The British day-ahead price was 0.35 pence lower at 94.00 pence per therm, while the British front-month contract TRGBNBPMc1 was down 0.83 pence at 96.35 p/therm.
LSEG analyst Wayne Bryan said geopolitical risk remains the biggest uncertainty will continue to provide volatility in the market despite fundamentals pointing firmly downwards in the short term.
The supply side remains strong with continued injections pushing gas storage levels to the brim, LNG continuing to head towards the UK and Europe in the weeks ahead. Temperature outlooks remaining close to seasonal normals keeping demand in check, consultancy Auxilione said in a daily note.
"With no key driver to push markets in either direction, they remain idly nervous and continue to keep an eye on global geopolitical developments which remains a significant risk," Auxilione added.
The Middle East has been on edge awaiting Israel's response to a missile attack from Iran last week that Tehran carried out in retaliation for Israel's military escalation in Lebanon. The Iranian attack ultimately killed no one in Israel and Washington called it ineffective.
U.S. President Joe Biden is expected to speak on Wednesday with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, talks set to include discussion of any plans to strike Iran, according to a person familiar with the matter.
In the European carbon market, the benchmark EU carbon permit contract CFI2Zc1 rose 1.59 euro to 61.92 euros per metric ton.
EXPLAINER-Is it the end for Russian gas supplies to Europe via Ukraine? nL8N3JZ0H0
EXPLAINER-What happens if Russian gas transit via Ukraine stops? nL8N3JV0SH
Reporting by Marwa Rashad; Editing by Susanna Twidale
Latest News
Disclaimer: The XM Group entities provide execution-only service and access to our Online Trading Facility, permitting a person to view and/or use the content available on or via the website, is not intended to change or expand on this, nor does it change or expand on this. Such access and use are always subject to: (i) Terms and Conditions; (ii) Risk Warnings; and (iii) Full Disclaimer. Such content is therefore provided as no more than general information. Particularly, please be aware that the contents of our Online Trading Facility are neither a solicitation, nor an offer to enter any transactions on the financial markets. Trading on any financial market involves a significant level of risk to your capital.
All material published on our Online Trading Facility is intended for educational/informational purposes only, and does not contain – nor should it be considered as containing – financial, investment tax or trading advice and recommendations; or a record of our trading prices; or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instruments; or unsolicited financial promotions to you.
Any third-party content, as well as content prepared by XM, such as: opinions, news, research, analyses, prices and other information or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an “as-is” basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. To the extent that any content is construed as investment research, you must note and accept that the content was not intended to and has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such, it would be considered as marketing communication under the relevant laws and regulations. Please ensure that you have read and understood our Notification on Non-Independent Investment. Research and Risk Warning concerning the foregoing information, which can be accessed here.
