Sweden's crown vulnerable but showing resilience
Sept 12 (Reuters) -The Swedish crown remains vulnerable but, despite a bearish backdrop, is beginning to show signs of resilience versus the euro, helped by technical factors.
Falling Swedish inflation, 1.2% y/y CPIF in August, a deteriorating labour market and interest rate cuts abroad continue to support the Riksbank's dovish stance. Three 25-basis point rate cuts are expected before the year is out with the possibility of a 50-basis point drop when the central bank meets on September 24-25. However, with EUR/SEK still at high levels, a 25-basis point rate cut this month might be the safer bet.
Technically, EUR/SEK has encountered strong resistance in the form of an Ichimoku cloud base on the daily chart. There have been three consecutive failures to hold a cloud breach this week. The cloud base is at 11.4615 and is backed up by the 100-day moving average at 11.4790. A 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, taken off the 11.7780-11.3130 July 30-Aug. 29 drop, comes in at 11.4906. The recent upswing in EUR/SEK remains intact while above the 200-day moving average, 11.4005. EUR bulls will also be encouraged by a bullish moving average cross over between the 10 and 200-day averages.
For more click on FXBUZ
EUR/SEK daily candle chart: https://tmsnrt.rs/3XDCDjT
Related Assets
Latest News
Disclaimer: The XM Group entities provide execution-only service and access to our Online Trading Facility, permitting a person to view and/or use the content available on or via the website, is not intended to change or expand on this, nor does it change or expand on this. Such access and use are always subject to: (i) Terms and Conditions; (ii) Risk Warnings; and (iii) Full Disclaimer. Such content is therefore provided as no more than general information. Particularly, please be aware that the contents of our Online Trading Facility are neither a solicitation, nor an offer to enter any transactions on the financial markets. Trading on any financial market involves a significant level of risk to your capital.
All material published on our Online Trading Facility is intended for educational/informational purposes only, and does not contain – nor should it be considered as containing – financial, investment tax or trading advice and recommendations; or a record of our trading prices; or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instruments; or unsolicited financial promotions to you.
Any third-party content, as well as content prepared by XM, such as: opinions, news, research, analyses, prices and other information or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an “as-is” basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. To the extent that any content is construed as investment research, you must note and accept that the content was not intended to and has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such, it would be considered as marketing communication under the relevant laws and regulations. Please ensure that you have read and understood our Notification on Non-Independent Investment. Research and Risk Warning concerning the foregoing information, which can be accessed here.
