Top of the Street: Heidelberg Materials, Deutsche Telekom, Big Yellow Group, European beverages and logistics
A round-up of notable broker activity this morning from Europe's top-ranked* analysts:
** HSBC downgrades Heidelberg Materials HEIG.DE to "hold" from "buy" as it expects weak pricing outlook in emerging markets and continued negative price/cost spread to lead to slow EBITDA progression
** UBS downgrades Deutsche Telekom DTEGn.DE to "neutral" from "buy" on valuation basis after the stock price reached multi-year highs
** Goldman Sachs downgrades British self-storage firm Big Yellow Group BYG.L to "neutral" following its outperformance and slightly weaker occupancy trends
** Exane notes European beverages are trading at around 14-year lows, but a more favourable macro context for staples could help the valuations
** It upgrades AB InBev ABI.BR to "outperform" from "neutral" and says it expects material share buybacks from 2025 and solid operational momentum to drive shareholder returns of 15-20%
** It upgrades Campari CPRI.MI to "outperform" from "neutral", as it expects positive inflection in both earnings and multiple
INITIATIONS AND REINSTATEMENTS
** J.P.Morgan resumes coverage of the European logistics sector "just in time for most anticipated M&A as storm clouds gather on container shipping"
** It resumes DHL DHLn.DE at "overweight", its top pick, saying the group's medium-term returns and growth prospects are undervalued by the market
** It also rates DSV DSV.CO as "overweight" and says a potential deal for Deutsche Bahn's logistics unit DB Schenker would be transformational for the Danish company
** It resumes Kuehne und Nagel KNIN.S at "underweight" saying the Swiss freight forwarder lacks "a clear organic growth or M&A strategy"
** It also re-initiates Maersk MAERSKb.CO at "underweight" based on the expectations of negative ROIC and increasing financial leverage post-2026
(*Analyst rankings from Thomson Reuters StarMine. The scale is from 1-star to 5-star with 5 being the best. Analysts are ranked on earnings accuracy as well as relative performance of recommendations over trailing 12-month & 24-month periods.)
Reporting by Tiago Brandao and Greta Rosen Fondahn
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