UBS starts Demant with 'buy', cuts Coloplast to 'sell'
** UBS initiates coverage of medical devices maker Demant DEMANT.CO with "buy" rating, and downgrades its Danish peer Coloplast COLOb.CO to "sell" from "neutral"
** It sees Demant to deliver a 13% EPS compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for 2024-2028, ahead of both Swiss rival Sonova SOON.S and the broader sector
** According to the brokerage, the company's new 2024 guidance is conservative, and revenue growth should normalise in 2025 allowing for a 7.2% revenue CAGR for 2024-2028
** It expects Demant can generate enough operating leverage to lift margins from 20.0% in 2024 to 21.1% by 2028, or in-line with 20.9% in 2023
** UBS sees further downside risks for Coloplast, which are neither taken into consideration in the consensus forecasts nor in the share price
** The broker flags that Coloplast faces three potential long-term challenges: risks from potential changes to wound biologics reimbursement, changing treatment practices in Urology, and improved competition in Ostomy
** UBS expects consensus forecasts to decrease 2-3% for 2025 in a base case scenario and potentially a further 4% if the final wound reimbursement ruling does not go as expected
** It also sees Coloplast's 2025 guidance to disappoint on margins
Reporting by Marta Frąckowiak
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