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USD/JPY higher perch confirmed as LDP loses Diet election



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  • Japan's ruling LDP-Komeito coalition lost in yesterday's elections

  • Coalition previously had 279 Lower House Diet seats, well above 233 majority

  • Coalition now down to only 215 seats, need more votes to form government

  • LDP seats now down to 191, Komeito 24 from 247, 32, respectively

  • Without outright majority, heavy politicking eyed to form new govt

  • Current PM Ishiba likely out, current opposition govt not impossible

  • Yen, Japanese equities weak on results, yen yields off on haven flows

  • USD/JPY 152.30 to 153.30 EBS early, off since to 152.65, steadies some

  • Higher US yields supportive, Tsy 2s to 4.140% early, 10s to 4.276%

  • Japanese exporter and spec sales from early highs, importers on dips?

  • No large option expiries nearby today to affect trading

  • BOJ later this weak, no hike eyed but to maintain tightening bias?

  • With Japanese politics in flux, some say will be harder for BOJ to move

  • Related comments nL1N3M30FI, nL1N3M10Q6, nL1N3M10GA, nL8N3LS10U

  • And nL1N3M108A, nL1N3M00XO, also nL1N3M30D4, nL1N3M10VS

  • US markets nL1N3M10NX, nL1N3M111A, nL4N3M11CK, nL1N3M1022

  • On Japan election nL1N3M300Q, on US data Friday nL1N3M10GG

  • For more click on FXBUZ


USD/JPY: https://tmsnrt.rs/4eXP8wN

USD/JPY nearby option expiries this week: https://tmsnrt.rs/40EEbMD

Yield on US Treasury 10s: https://tmsnrt.rs/3YnFCfB

(Haruya Ida is a Reuters market analyst. The views expressed are his own)

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