Hawkish BoJ official changes little over rate hike timing
Oct 10 (Reuters) -While the yen rose slightly on Bank of Japan Deputy Governor Ryozo Himino's latest comments supporting more rate hikes if the economy moves in line with bank projections, Fed pricing and U.S. elections are the main focus for the USD/JPY.
Overall, the remarks change little for the BoJ outlook, with the timing of the next live meeting unchanged despite a slight reduction in the hawkish BoJ view in light of more dovish comments from the new Japanese PM, Shigeru Ishiba.
Japan's lower house elections took the October meeting where the BoJ would consider raising rates off the table. The next conceivable live meeting is December. As it stands, market pricing attaches roughly a one in three chance for a rate hike.
With Himino flagging that Japan is experiencing record high corporate profits and wage increases, it is reasonable to assume that December is in play for the BoJ.
But the BoJ trade is unlikely to garner much attention until after the U.S. Presidential election. There is therefore likely little value in trading USD/JPY on BoJ headlines in the short-run.
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(Justin McQueen is a Reuters market analyst. The views expressed are his own.)
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