Month/Quarter-end FX rebalancing expectations
Repeats with no changes
Sept 26 (Reuters) -Several banks have released signals from their month-end FX rebalancing models and the general consensus suggests a relatively neutral to weak stance for the U.S. dollar.
Credit Agricole's model takes into account the under-performance of the USD in September and the overall moves in equity markets, which when adjusted for market capitalisation and FX performance, suggest month-end portfolio-rebalancing flows are likely to be neutral across the board.
The model's strongest sell signal in the case of the USD is against the JPY. However, the bank's corporate flow model points to EUR selling.
Barclays month-end rebalancing model indicates a weak dollar-selling signal against most majors, with a neutral sign on EURUSD. The bank's quarter-end rebalancing model indicates a moderate dollar-selling signal against most majors, with a weak sign on EUR/USD and USD/JPY pairs.
SEB's month-end model indicates limited rebalancing needs, but the most pronounced are sales of USD/CHF and USD/JPY.
For more click on FXBUZ
(Richard Pace is a Reuters market analyst. The views expressed are his own)
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