XM does not provide services to residents of the United States of America.

Stocks, FX take a hit as US election results signal Trump comeback



<html xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><head><title>EMERGING MARKETS-Stocks, FX take a hit as US election results signal Trump comeback</title></head><body>

Chinese banks sell dollars to cushion yuan's drop

Ukraine's dollar sovereign bonds rally

Mexican peso slumps to two-year low

Equities in India, Turkey jump as oil prices drop

MSCI EM stocks, FX index lose 0.6% each

Updated at 1006 GMT

By Johann M Cherian

Nov 6 (Reuters) -Emerging market currencies and stocks suffered broad losses on Wednesday as a likely U.S. election win by Republican Donald Trump sent the dollar sharply higher and raised the spectre of fresh trade barriers.

MSCI's index tracking currencies in major developing markets .MIEM00000CUS was on track for its biggest one-day drop since February 2023, down 0.6%, as the dollar strengthened over 1.4% and U.S. Treasury yields spiked.

A gauge for emerging market stocks .MSCIEF also lost 0.6%, and was close to a one-month low.

Trump claimed victory in the 2024 presidential contest after Fox News projected that he had defeated Democrat Kamala Harris, although other news outlets are yet to call the race for Trump.

Shaniel Ramjee, co-head of multi asset at Pictet Asset Management, said some high-beta currencies like the Mexican peso were reacting negatively to the likelihood of tariffs, with polls pointing to a Trump victory and the Republicans winning control of the Senate too.

A Republican Senate would mean less resistance to Trump's fiscal plans, which analysts say could stoke inflation, keep the dollar elevated and pressure inflows into emerging markets.

Mexico's peso MXN= weakened 2.6% to touch a more than two year low, trading last at 20.6 to the dollar. The Latin American country could face trade and immigration barriers, as Trump has threatened a 200% surcharge on auto exports to the United States.

Expectations that Trump could impose tariffs of 60% or more on goods from China, sent domestic Chinese stocks .SSEC, .CSI300 lower, while Hong Kong's Hang Seng index .HSI slid 2.2%.

The yuan CNH= weakened 1.1% - its biggest one-day drop since Oct 2022, amid reports that lenders were selling dollars to cushion the yuan's decline.

Ukraine's hryvnia EUREAH= strengthened 2% and international sovereign bonds gained with some traders betting that a Trump presidency could mean a quicker end to the Ukraine-Russia war.

India's rupee INR=IN hit a record low and South Africa ZAR= declined 1.3%, while Turkey's lira TRYTOM=D3 firmed 0.2%.

Equity indexes in India .NSEI, .BSESN added over 1%, while Turkish stocks .XU100 jumped about 2.8%, as prices of crude oil - a key resource for the net importers - dropped over 1%.

In central and eastern Europe, Hungary's forint EURHUF= led declines with a 0.8% drop against the euro to mark a fresh 22-month low, while Poland's zloty EURPLN= weakened 0.3% ahead of a central bank interest rate decision later in the day.

Israel's shekel ILS= firmed 0.4%. Trump's stance on sanctions is perceived as detrimental to the country's arch rival Iran, along with others such as Lebanon, Iraq, and Yemen.


For GRAPHIC on emerging market FX performance in 2024 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

For GRAPHIC on MSCI emerging index performance in 2024 https://tmsnrt.rs/2OusNdX


Reporting by Johann M Cherian and Bansari Mayur Kamdar in Bengaluru; editing by Philippa Fletcher and Christina Fincher

</body></html>

Disclaimer: The XM Group entities provide execution-only service and access to our Online Trading Facility, permitting a person to view and/or use the content available on or via the website, is not intended to change or expand on this, nor does it change or expand on this. Such access and use are always subject to: (i) Terms and Conditions; (ii) Risk Warnings; and (iii) Full Disclaimer. Such content is therefore provided as no more than general information. Particularly, please be aware that the contents of our Online Trading Facility are neither a solicitation, nor an offer to enter any transactions on the financial markets. Trading on any financial market involves a significant level of risk to your capital.

All material published on our Online Trading Facility is intended for educational/informational purposes only, and does not contain – nor should it be considered as containing – financial, investment tax or trading advice and recommendations; or a record of our trading prices; or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instruments; or unsolicited financial promotions to you.

Any third-party content, as well as content prepared by XM, such as: opinions, news, research, analyses, prices and other information or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an “as-is” basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. To the extent that any content is construed as investment research, you must note and accept that the content was not intended to and has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such, it would be considered as marketing communication under the relevant laws and regulations. Please ensure that you have read and understood our Notification on Non-Independent Investment. Research and Risk Warning concerning the foregoing information, which can be accessed here.

Risk Warning: Your capital is at risk. Leveraged products may not be suitable for everyone. Please consider our Risk Disclosure.