Individual investor bulls bulk up - AAII
Main U.S. indexes modestly red; Nasdaq off ~0.5%
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Euro STOXX 600 index down ~1.4%
Dollar, bitcoin, crude gain; gold up >1%
U.S. 10-Year Treasury yield ~flat at ~3.74%
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INDIVIDUAL INVESTOR BULLS BULK UP - AAII
Optimism among individual investors over the short-term outlook for the U.S. stock market surged in the latest American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) Sentiment Survey. With this, both pessimism and neutral sentiment declined.
Meanwhile, a little over a third of investors surveyed said that the economy and/or inflation is the factor most influencing their outlook for stocks.
AAII reported that bullish sentiment, or expectations that stock prices will rise over the next six months, jumped 11.0 percentage points to 50.8%. Bullish sentiment is "unusually high" and is above its historical average of 37.5% for the 45th time in 46 weeks.
Bearish sentiment, or expectations that stock prices will fall over the next six months, declined 4.5 percentage points to 26.4%. Bearish sentiment is below its historical average of 31.0% for the fifth time in six weeks.
Neutral sentiment, or expectations that stock prices will stay essentially unchanged over the next six months, lost 6.5 percentage points to 22.8%. Neutral sentiment is below its historical average of 31.5% for the 11th-straight week.
With these changes, the bull-bear spread advanced 15.6 percentage points to 24.4% from 8.8% last week. The spread is above its historical average of 6.5% for the 19th time in 20 weeks.
In this week’s special question, AAII asked its members which factor is most influencing their six-month outlook for stocks.
Here is AAII 's graphic showing how they responded:
(Terence Gabriel)
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AAII09202024 https://tmsnrt.rs/47ClavK
AAIISQ09202024 https://tmsnrt.rs/3ZvJcpW
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