JPM upgrades Hellofresh on cost execution, move to more stable business
** J.P.Morgan upgrades Hellofresh HFGG.DE to "overweight" from "neutral", saying the management is executing well on costs and that markets are missing its changing financial profile
** The meal-kit company's shares rise 7% to the top of Germany's mid-cap index .MDAXI
** JPM says Hellofresh is moving towards a more stable and high margin and FCF accretive business
** It also sees potential for higher cash distribution going forward, expecting 300 million euros ($326 million) net cash position by December 2025
** "We now see clear signs that management's strategic shift to retaining the existing customer base in meal-kits, away from costly gross additions, is bearing fruit," JPM says
** It expects the ready-to-eat (RTE) branch to offset the meal-kit operations, on which it is cautious
** "We estimate RTE will take a 40% profit share (EBITDA) by 2027E from just 2% in 2024E" - JPM
** However, it adds Hellofresh should provide meaningful information regarding the size of its loyal customer/order base and retention over a longer period
($1 = 0.9199 euros)
Reporting by Paolo Laudani
Related Assets
Latest News
Disclaimer: The XM Group entities provide execution-only service and access to our Online Trading Facility, permitting a person to view and/or use the content available on or via the website, is not intended to change or expand on this, nor does it change or expand on this. Such access and use are always subject to: (i) Terms and Conditions; (ii) Risk Warnings; and (iii) Full Disclaimer. Such content is therefore provided as no more than general information. Particularly, please be aware that the contents of our Online Trading Facility are neither a solicitation, nor an offer to enter any transactions on the financial markets. Trading on any financial market involves a significant level of risk to your capital.
All material published on our Online Trading Facility is intended for educational/informational purposes only, and does not contain – nor should it be considered as containing – financial, investment tax or trading advice and recommendations; or a record of our trading prices; or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instruments; or unsolicited financial promotions to you.
Any third-party content, as well as content prepared by XM, such as: opinions, news, research, analyses, prices and other information or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an “as-is” basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. To the extent that any content is construed as investment research, you must note and accept that the content was not intended to and has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such, it would be considered as marketing communication under the relevant laws and regulations. Please ensure that you have read and understood our Notification on Non-Independent Investment. Research and Risk Warning concerning the foregoing information, which can be accessed here.
