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Piper Sandler cuts PT on US refiners



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** Brokerage Piper Sandler cuts price targets on several U.S. refiners due to incremental refined product capacity and weaker-than-expected demand in 2025

** Brokerage lowers its FY25 refining margin outlook, now expects NYH 3-2-1 crack spread of $15.80/bbl

** Piper Sandler also cuts 3Q24 and FY24 EPS estimates by 232% and 57%, respectively, and FY25 estimates by 52%; adds that it expects significant negative revisions into third-quarter results

** Piper Sandler says the supply-demand balance has deteriorated into 2025, driven by a combination of lower demand estimates and higher supply; expects supply-demand balance to be roughly flat in 2025 compared to 2024

** "We anticipate ~1.5 million barrels per day of gross capacity additions in 2025...continued weakness in both OECD (Organization of Economic Cooperation and Development) and Chinese distillate demand suggests downside risk to our estimates"

** Here are the PT cuts made by the brokerage


Company

New PT

Old PT

Rating

HF Sinclair DINO.N

$49

$58

Overweight

Delek US Holdings DK.N

$19

$25

Neutral

PBF Energy PBF.N

$25

$47

Underweight

Phillips 66 PSX.N

$136

$151

Overweight

Valero Energy VLO.N

$123

$169

Neutral

Marathon Petroleum MPC.N

$145

$168

Neutral



Reporting by Vallari Srivastava in Bengaluru

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