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S&P 500 enjoys its best September since 2013



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Main U.S. indexes end slightly green; S&P 500 up ~0.4%

Energy leads S&P sector gainers; Materials weakest group

Dollar gains; crude edges up; gold off ~1%; bitcoin down >3%

U.S. 10-Year Treasury yield rises to ~3.79%

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S&P 500 ENJOYS ITS BEST SEPTEMBER SINCE 2013

Wall Street's main indexes ended slightly positive in choppy trading on Monday as investors paused after the previous week's rally and exercised caution ahead of numerous job reports and comments through the week from Federal Reserve policymakers, including Chair Jerome Powell.

Fed Chair Powell said Monday he sees two more interest rate cuts, totaling 50 basis points, this year as a baseline "if the economy performs as expected," though the Fed could cut faster if needed, or slower.

The CME's FedWatch Tool is still showing a bias for the Fed funds rate to be in the 4.00%-4.25% area with the Fed's December 17-18 meeting vs the current target rate of 4.75%-5.00%.

Stocks weakened slightly in the aftermath of Powell's remarks before they recovered and ended with modest gains.

Most S&P 500 .SPX sectors ended higher with energy .SPNY posting the biggest gain, while just materials .SPLRCM and consumer discretionary .SPLRCD finished down. That said, action was subdued with no one sector posting an absolute change of more than 0.83%.

With this, the S&P 500 and Dow .DJI scored record closing highs. Industrials .SPLRCI and utilities .SPLRCU also ended at record closing highs.

The Nasdaq composite .IXIC still down around 2.5% from its record highs.

Under the surface, regional banks .KRX were a clear outperformer, while gold stocks .HUI were on the weak side.

In any event, markets are also eyeing the Middle East as indications grew on Monday that Israel was on the verge of sending ground troops into Lebanon.

With the headlines, NYMEX crude futures CLc1 are now just slightly higher, while the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield US10YT=RR is rising around 4 basis points to the 3.79% area.

Of note, for the month of September, the SPX rose 2%. With this, the benchmark index posted its best September since 2013. It is now up five straight months, as well as four quarters in a row.

Here is a snapshot of where markets stood just shortly after 1600 EDT/2000 GMT:



(Terence Gabriel)

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FOR MONDAY'S EARLIER LIVE MARKETS POSTS:


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MIDWEST FACTORY ACTIVITY CONTRACTION DECELERATES, SLIGHTLY - CLICK HERE


WALL STREET DOWN AHEAD OF FED'S POWELL, JOBS DATA - CLICK HERE


NASDAQ COMPOSITE: RED FLAG WARNING? - CLICK HERE


HOLD YOUR HORSES ON LUXURY SECTOR AFTER CHINA STIMULUS - CLICK HERE


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SLIDING AUTOS SECTOR WEIGHS ON STOXX AFTER PROFIT WARNINGS - CLICK HERE


EUROPE SET FOR CAGEY START; AUTOS IN FOCUS - CLICK HERE


NIKKEI RETREATS, CHINA RALLIES - CLICK HERE






(Terence Gabriel is a Reuters market analyst. The views expressed are his own)

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