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Reuters - 1 day ago

US recap: EUR/USD sags as dollar gains with havens after payrolls

BUZZ-COMMENT-US recap: EUR/USD sags as dollar gains with havens after payrolls Sept 6 (Reuters) - The dollar, along with other haven currencies, rose Friday as markets pared expectations of an aggressive Fed rate cut in September following the August jobs report and U.S. central banker comments, sending shares and commodity price tumbling. The dollar index rose about 0.3% with the greenback gaining against most of its G-10 and emerging market peers; the yen briefly posted a one-month low as the
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Reuters - 2 days ago

"Binary" outcome likely for jobs report

LIVE MARKETS-"Binary" outcome likely for jobs report STOXX 600 down 0.3% Focus on nonfarm payrolls Oil, mining stocks lag Wall St futures lower Welcome to the home for real-time coverage of markets brought to you by Reuters reporters. You can share your thoughts with us at markets.research@thomsonreuters.com "BINARY" OUTCOME LIKELY FOR JOBS REPORT Analysts at Citigroup and Barclays are both expecting the outcome from today's U.S.
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Reuters - 2 days ago

Stand-out FX option strike expiries next week

BUZZ-COMMENT-Stand-out FX option strike expiries next week Sept 6 (Reuters) - The cash hedging of soon-to-expire FX option strikes can have a magnetic effect on FX price action, adding to nearby support/resistance. There are plenty for the week ahead if the anticipated FX volatility from Friday's U.S. jobs data doesn't drive FX from current ranges.
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Reuters - 2 days ago

Australia, NZ dollars long for clarity on US rates, recession risk

Australia, NZ dollars long for clarity on US rates, recession risk By Wayne Cole SYDNEY, Sept 6 (Reuters) - The Australian and New Zealand dollars held still on Friday ahead of U.S. jobs data that should help clarify the risk of recession and the pace of rate cuts there, ensuring major fallout for global risk assets. The Aussie was flat at $0.6739 AUD=D3 , having eased 0.4% for the week.
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Reuters - 2 days ago

US recap: EUR/USD firms as dollar dips heading toward payrolls

BUZZ-COMMENT-US recap: EUR/USD firms as dollar dips heading toward payrolls Sept 5 (Reuters) - The dollar index fell for a third day Thursday, tracking Treasury yields lower in the run up to U.S. jobs data Friday amid fresh signs the US labor market is softening. The ADP payrolls estimate of 99k was much weaker than street estimate of 145k though analysts tended to downplay the link between ADP and NFP.
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Reuters - 3 days ago

FX options wrap - USD puts and major event risks drive market

BUZZ-FX options wrap - USD puts and major event risks drive market The USD has been under renewed pressure since Wednesday's U.S. jolts data and the market is on high alert for Friday's U.S. jobs data and its potential to sway the U.S. Fed into a 50bps cut on Sept. 18. Overnight expiry now encompasses Friday's jobs report, and the sharp rise in related implied volatility highlights the largest realised volatility risk premium for any jobs data release this year .
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Reuters - 3 days ago

Australian dollar supported as RBA sticks to hawkish stance

Australian dollar supported as RBA sticks to hawkish stance By Wayne Cole SYDNEY, Sept 5 (Reuters) - The Australian dollar held steady on Thursday after the country's central bank stuck to its hawkish guidance on interest rates despite soft economic numbers, helping to offset risk aversion in global markets. Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Governor Michele Bullock used a speech to reiterate that a rate cut was unlikely in the near term given stubborn inflationary pressures.
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Reuters - 3 days ago

US recap: JOLTS boosts EUR/USD, but yen maintains spotlight

BUZZ-COMMENT-US recap: JOLTS boosts EUR/USD, but yen maintains spotlight Dollar downside vs yen finds support as recent range lows near MXN/JPY may have triggered another warning for risk assets Sept 4 (Reuters) - The dollar index fell on Wednesday after U.S. job openings data came in lower than expected, leading markets to increase bets on the Fed going big when it launches a widely expected rate-cutting cycle on Sept.
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Reuters - 4 days ago

FX options wrap - JPY surge, NFP risk, long gamma, CHF puts

BUZZ-FX options wrap - JPY surge, NFP risk, long gamma, CHF puts Risk aversion and JPY gains are driving JPY related implied volatility and its JPY call over put skew higher. USD/JPY 1-month expiry implied volatility from 11.9 to 12.9 this week and 1-month 25 delta risk reversals regaining 2.0 from 1.6 vol premium for downside strikes. JPY call buying has dominated flows, with 140.00 being a popular strike .
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Reuters - 4 days ago

Australia, NZ dollars on defensive as risk assets hammered

Australia, NZ dollars on defensive as risk assets hammered By Wayne Cole SYDNEY, Sept 4 (Reuters) - The Australian and New Zealand dollars were on the defensive on Wednesday as a sell off on Wall Street hammered risk-sensitive currencies, while a weak reading on the domestic economy provided another reason to sell. Adding to the pressure was weakness in commodity prices led by a near 5% dive in oil overnight, while iron ore futures suffered their largest one-day slide in almost two years.
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Reuters - 4 days ago

US recap: EUR/USD slips as dollar gains and yen shines

BUZZ-COMMENT-US recap: EUR/USD slips as dollar gains and yen shines Sept 3 (Reuters) - The dollar index gained for the fourth day in five on Tuesday as markets took on a safe-haven tone, though the yen stole the show on signs of the BoJ's growing resolve to tighten. The yen was helped after media reports cited the Bank of Japan governor reiterating in a document submitted to a government panel on Tuesday that the central bank would keep raising interest rates if the economy and inflation perform
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Reuters - 5 days ago

FX options wrap - USD puts, NFP risk, JPY 140, huge euro

BUZZ-FX options wrap - USD puts, NFP risk, JPY 140, huge euro Sept 3 (Reuters) - Broader FX option implied volatility setbacks remain limited ahead of Friday's U.S. jobs data and the strong risk premium for Friday expiries shows a market prepared for FX realised volatility to increase . Shorter dated expiry USD puts have been more sought and demand more premium than USD calls against many currencies.
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Reuters - 5 days ago

Australian dollar buoyant versus yen, shrugs off soft data ahead of GDP

Australian dollar buoyant versus yen, shrugs off soft data ahead of GDP SYDNEY, Sept 3 (Reuters) - The Australian dollar was buoyant on Tuesday after gaining on the Japanese yen, while shrugging off another fall in iron ore prices and local data that highlighted the softness of economic growth. The Aussie eased 0.2% to $0.6776 AUD=D3 , having gained 0.4% overnight to as high as $0.6794. Major resistance lies at $0.6824, the peak from last week, while support is around $0.6752. It was in part due
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Reuters - 6 days ago

FX options wrap - Big expiries, NFP storm, directional flip

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Big expiries, NFP storm, directional flip Huge FX option strike expiries and their related cash hedging flows can have more of an impact on FX price action this week, as many traders are side-lined before the U.S. jobs data. Broader implied volatility appears heavy, which reinforces that scenario, although setbacks will remain minimal for options that include the jobs data.
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Reuters - 6 days ago

Stand-out FX option strike expiries this week

BUZZ-COMMENT-Stand-out FX option strike expiries this week Sept 2 (Reuters) - The cash hedging of soon-to-expire FX option strikes can have a magnetic effect on FX price action, adding to nearby support/resistance, and there are plenty for the week ahead. These may have a noticeable bearing on FX trading, with markets potentially sidelined before Friday's key U.S.
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Reuters - 6 days ago

Australia, NZ dlrs slip after bumper August, outlook uncertain

Australia, NZ dlrs slip after bumper August, outlook uncertain SYDNEY, Sept 2 (Reuters) - The Australian and New Zealand dollars slipped on Monday after ending August with hefty gains, with investors eyeing U.S. jobs data for clues into the size of the anticipated September Fed rate cut, as well as local economic data. The Aussie held at $0.6762 AUD=D3 , having scaled a fresh eight-month top of $0.6823 last week which left it 3.4% firmer last month.
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Reuters - 1 week ago

US recap: EUR/USD extends slide as data tempers aggressive-Fed bets

BUZZ-COMMENT-US recap: EUR/USD extends slide as data tempers aggressive-Fed bets Aug 30 (Reuters) - The dollar gained on Friday, extending its recent rebound after U.S. consumption, income and inflation data fell short of motivating traders to augment bets on aggressive Fed easing next month. Though annual headline and PCE inflation came in below Reuters consensus forecasts, the report also showed rising income and consumption.
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Reuters - 1 week ago

Australia, NZ currencies hold hefty monthly gains as US dollar wanes

Australia, NZ currencies hold hefty monthly gains as US dollar wanes By Wayne Cole SYDNEY, Aug 30 (Reuters) - The Australian and New Zealand dollars were looking to close out the month with sizable gains on Friday as breaks of major chart barriers drew momentum buyers against a U.S. currency saddled with aggressive rate cut expectations. The Aussie stood at $0.6797 AUD=D3 after touching a fresh eight-month top of $0.6823, leaving it 3.9% firmer for the month.
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Reuters - 1 week ago

US recap: EUR/USD extends slide as dollar shows resilience

REFILE-BUZZ-COMMENT-US recap: EUR/USD extends slide as dollar shows resilience Corrects typo in signoff Aug 29 (Reuters) - The dollar rose again on Thursday, extending its rebound from recent one-year lows, after above-forecast Q2 GDP and slightly lower than expected jobless claims forced the market to question the extremes of recent dovish Fed views.
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Reuters - 1 week ago

FX options wrap - FX eruption, EUR topside, short gamma, CNH alert

BUZZ-FX options wrap - FX eruption, EUR topside, short gamma, CNH alert Mild USD recovery/consolidation takes front-end expiry FX option implied volatility off its most recent highs. However, setbacks are proving limited amid the strong demand and high premiums attached to post NFP options - reflecting the importance of this event to the scale of the September 18 U.S.
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