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Market Comment – Yen tumbles to fresh lows, dollar awaits GDP

Yen falls to new 34-year low ahead of BoJ decision Dollar traders await GDP and PCE data Wall Street mixed, gold stays on the back foot Will Ueda appear in a hawkish suit this time? The yen extended its tumble to a fresh 34-year low, falling below 155.00 per dollar. With less than 24 hours to go for the Bank of Japan’s decision, investors are likely sitting on the edge of their seats in anticipation of the gathering’s outcome.
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Microsoft reports earnings as AI wars intensify – Stock markets

Microsoft will report earnings on Thursday, April 25 after the bell Analysts expect solid growth, driven by artificial intelligence But share valuation is already stretched, so upside may be limited Leading the AI arms race Microsoft has been at the forefront of the ‘artificial intelligence wars’ over the past year, following its acquisition of OpenAI and several other startups.
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Are there more AI growth opportunities to be priced into the markets?

Nvidia skyrockets and drives the S&P 500 to new records Demand for chips continues to surge, AI enters consumers’ life There maybe more AI growth opportunities to be priced in But downside risks on high valuations and geopolitics do exist Nvidia beats already optimistic estimates Just last week, the investor favorite Nvidia beat out Amazon and Alphabet to take the third place as the most valuable company in the US by market capitalization, and although the chipmaker’s
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Magnificent 7 earnings assert dominance, focus shifts to Nvidia – Stock Markets

Magnificent 7 earnings endorse their relentless rally Tesla lags, while Apple shows some signs of weakness Valuations are stretched despite rosy projections   In their own world The so-called Magnificent Seven group comprised of Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, Nvidia, Meta Platforms and Tesla has gone parabolic since early 2023, outperforming the broader US stock market by a wide margin.
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Is the 5,000 milestone in sight for the S&P 500? – Stock Markets

Mega-cap stocks drive S&P 500 towards 5,000 milestone AI and tech dominate the bull charge to unchartered territory But how sustainable is the uptrend? A wobbly start to 2024 It wasn’t the best start for Wall Street in 2024 as the major indices stumbled during the first week of the new year. However, it didn’t take long for Fed rate cut expectations to take off again and revive risk appetite.
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Market Comment – Investors lock gaze on Fed decision

Fed to stand pat, focus to turn on rate path signals Aussie falls after Australian CPI slows by more than expected Euro slides ahead of preliminary CPI data from Germany Wall Street trades mixed ahead of Fed decision Will the Fed pour cold water on March rate cut bets? The US dollar traded mixed against the other major currencies on Tuesday, but it is gaining ground today.
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Technical Analysis – Microsoft eases slightly from record peak

Microsoft remains above uptrend line But momentum indicators are turning lower Microsoft has its earnings release on Tuesday 30 and its stock price is currently trading slightly below the record peak of 406.70 that it reached on Thursday. The price has been developing within an ascending movement since the end of September 2023. However, the technical oscillators are indicating a potential downside retracement in the daily timeframe. The RSI is pointing down above the 70 level, w
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Market Comment – Stocks, dollar steady after goldilocks data as Fed awaited

Stocks perky ahead of Fed decision as US data and China measures lift optimism Dollar and yields little changed after goldilocks reports, NFP eyed next Oil and gold spike on geopolitical concerns amid fresh ME tensions Markets await direction from the Fed Stocks were mixed on Monday amid a cautiously risk-on tone ahead of a very busy week for the markets that’s expected to get heated up mid-week by the Fed’s policy decision, culminating with the latest payrolls report on Fri
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Microsoft to unveil earnings as AI-powered boom persists – Stock Markets

Microsoft will release quarterly earnings on Tuesday, January 30, after closing bell A strong quarter is expected, driven by artificial intelligence operations Shares are expensive from a valuation perspective, reflecting future growth     Microsoft takes the crown With its share price rocketing higher in recent months, Microsoft has become the world’s most valuable company by market capitalization, taking the crown away from Apple.
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Technical Analysis – Microsoft stock posts fresh all-time high

Microsoft storms to a new all-time high on Monday Momentum indicators are within their overbought zones Suggesting elevated possibility of a correction Microsoft’s shares have been in a steady advance since their September bottom of 309.35, generating a series of new record highs in the last few sessions. Given that the short-term oscillators are hinting at overbought conditions, traders should be aware of the increasing risks of a pullback.
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Market Comment – Wall Street extends gains as dollar flounders, Fed minutes eyed

Microsoft leads Wall Street higher, lifted by AI mania and rate cut bets But will FOMC minutes spoil the party? Dollar slips to 3-month lows; aussie surges on hawkish RBA, China boost Stocks enjoy pre-Thanksgiving rally ahead of Fed minutes Equity markets got off to a positive start on Monday in what is a holiday-shortened week in the United States, while the upbeat mood seems to be mostly holding on Tuesday as investors await more clues on the path of interest rates.
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Market Comment – Better-than-expected US PMIs help the dollar rebound

PMIs suggest the US economy entered Q4 on solid footing The divergence between US/Eurozone outlooks weighs on euro/dollar Aussie rallies on stickier inflation, yen pinned near 150-per-dollar mark Wall Street pays attention to corporate earnings Euro/dollar slides from near key resistance on PMI data Although the 10-year US Treasury yield held steady comfortably below the psychological zone of 5%, the US dollar was able to stage a comeback against most of its major counterpar
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What do Q3 earnings hold for Microsoft’s stock? – Stock Markets

Microsoft earnings to be released after market close on October 24 Both earnings and revenue expected to jump on an annual basis Valuation remains stretched against its tech peers Solid performance driven by AI initiatives Microsoft has fared relatively well in 2023 amid a broader tech rally driven by the Artificial Intelligence (AI) hype.
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Daily Market Comment – Investors lock gaze on Fed decision

Fed expected to hike, spotlight to fall on hints about next moves Euro awaits ECB; aussie slides on inflation slowdown Wall Street gains, awaits Fed and more tech earnings Will the Fed hint at more hikes? The US dollar traded lower against most of the other currencies on Tuesday, but it seems to be stabilizing today as investors may have turned to a more cautious trading strategy ahead of the FOMC decision later today.
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Technical Analysis – Microsoft stock sustains positive trend

Microsoft stock opened mildly higher on Tuesday, edging up to 347.97 as investors eagerly awaited the company’s Q2 earnings and its outlook on artificial intelligence after the market close. The price has been in a bearish corrective mode during previous sessions following the peak at a new record high of 366.49 last Wednesday, but the long-term uptrend from the November low of 213.17 is still well intact.
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Week Ahead – Fed, ECB and BoJ decisions take center stage

Following a relatively quiet week in terms of economic data and events, the spotlight now turns to three major central banks: the Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank, and the Bank of Japan. With investors anticipating only one more hike by the Fed, the focus will be on whether officials will signal the end of this hiking cycle, while with several ECB members pushing back on a September hike, it will be interesting to see whether Lagarde has also changed her stance.
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Microsoft Q2 Earnings: ChatGPT and AI performance take centre stage – Stock Market News

The next week will be packed with major US tech companies’ earnings releases, which are expected to garner significant attention as the buzz around Artificial Intelligence (AI) has been the main driver behind the 2023 equity market rally. Microsoft, alongside Alphabet, will be the first to unveil its Q2 financial performance on Tuesday after Wall Street’s closing bell.
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Nasdaq 100 rebalances this month, what’s the effect? – Stock Market News

The Nasdaq 100 index will rebalance the weights of its component stocks this month, effective July 24. This move will reduce the weight of the largest companies, to counter the supremacy of heavyweight tech shares and avoid concentration. In isolation, this implies less demand for the largest stocks and more flows into smaller Nasdaq companies. Of course, several other factors will also influence these shares moving forward.  “Special rebalancing” A scorching rally has seen the Nasdaq 100 g
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Daily Market Comment – Dollar stays weak ahead of key data, yen flirts with intervention zone

Dollar extends slide after dismal ISM manufacturing PMI Fed minutes on today’s schedule; ADP and ISM non-mfg PMI tomorrow Yen pauses slide on intervention fears Wall Street resumes trading after Independence Day Dollar stays on the back foot, awaits more key data The US dollar traded lower against most of the other major currencies on Tuesday, gaining ground only against the euro and the Swiss franc.
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Artificial Intelligence: Is the ‘baby bubble’ ready to pop?

Wall Street has been in a rally mode this year, despite the Fed hiking rates and signaling that more hikes are looming before the end of this tightening crusade. It seems that the biggest driver behind the gains is the enthusiasm about artificial intelligence (AI). So, with the Nasdaq gaining more than 40% from its October lows, the financial community seems to be asking this question: Will the rally continue or is this ‘baby bubble’ ready to pop?
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