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NZDUSD


XM Research

Daily Comment – Equities weakness lingers as focus remains on US data

Equities remain on the back foot as key US data on the menu today ADP, jobless claims and ISM Services could prove market moving Dollar’s mixed performance continues, yen benefits OPEC+ production rumours fail to push oil prices higher US data releases in the spotlight Equity markets continue to exhibit a rather unexpected fragility as second tier data like Wednesday’s JOLTs job openings resulted in another negative session in most stock indices around the globe.
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Technical Analysis – NZDUSD plunges from 8-month high

NZDUSD retreats with next support at 0.6130 Momentum oscillators step down NZDUSD has been declining considerably following the pullback from the eight-month high of 0.6298, erasing some of the gains of the previous week. The price may find first support at the 0.6130 barricade, ahead of the golden cross between the 20- and the 200-day simple moving averages (SMAs) at 0.6100. Slightly lower, the 50-day SMA at 0.6060 may pause the descending movement.
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Technical Analysis – NZDUSD flies to fresh 8-month peak

NZDUSD creates strong bullish wave in short-term 20- and 200-day SMAs ready for bullish cross Stochastic and RSI near overbought levels NZDUSD surged to a new eight-month high earlier in the day, continuing the strong buying interest that started on August 5. The price has increased around 8% and this upside movement is also confirmed by the potential golden cross within the 20- and the 200-day simple moving averages (SMAs).
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Daily Comment – Nvidia earnings fail to buoy markets, focus turns to US data

Nvidia slumps in after-hours trading as earnings don’t excite Equities mixed as attention turns to US data for direction Kiwi outperforms, euro slips on soft German and Spanish CPI figures No post-Nvidia boost for equities Nvidia’s much anticipated earnings results for the second quarter failed to deliver on the very high expectations even as the chip giant saw its revenue more than double from a year ago.
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Technical Analysis – NZDUSD still bullish but rally looks overstretched

NZDUSD is up almost 5% so far in August Further gains are likely, but risk of near-term correction is high   NZDUSD is trading near seven-month highs on Wednesday, as the pair continues its August bull charge. However, there appears to be some resistance in the 0.6250 area where the intersecting long-term descending trendline is providing additional friction.
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Daily Comment – Markets cautious as Nvidia earnings and key US data loom

Dollar pauses slide as jobs and inflation data awaited Yen pulls back but hawkish BoJ signals keep it elevated Wall Street awaits Nvidia, oil retreats on demand worries Dollar awaits key data for direction The US dollar extended its slump against all its major peers on Tuesday, as in the absence of any top-tier data and shocking headlines, investors continued to digest Powell’s dovish stance at Jackson Hole.
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Technical Analysis – NZDUSD hits fresh 2-month high

NZDUSD stages a V-shaped recovery from 2024 low The pair jumps above 200-day SMA to its highest since June 14 Oscillators improve notably, suggesting increasing bullish bias NZDUSD has been steadily regaining ground since the beginning of the month after finding its footing at a fresh 2024 low of 0.5848. In the near term, the pair sliced through its 200-day simple moving average (SMA) to post a fresh two-month high on Wednesday.
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Market Comment – Dollar under pressure ahead of Jackson Hole Symposium

Stocks in the green again as investors await the Jackson Hole gathering Economists look for strong Fed easing in 2024 despite recession talk dissipating Dollar remains on the back foot against most currencies Aussie fails to benefit from hawkish minutes; loonie could suffer from weak CPI Stocks still in the green Stocks continue to enjoy green sessions as the market is counting down to Friday’s Jackson Hole speech by Fed Chairman Powell.
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Market Comment – Markets perk up as soft PPI sets the tone ahead of US CPI

Stocks perk up after soft US producer prices, all eyes now on CPI report Kiwi slumps after RBNZ cuts rates and signals more to come Pound also slips on weaker-than-expected UK inflation data Gold holds near record high as dollar skids, ME tensions mount Mood brightens ahead of US CPI data The rebound in equity markets gained further traction on Tuesday after US producer prices rose less than expected in July, raising hopes that today’s report on consumer prices will also sur
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Technical Analysis – NZDUSD hits a wall at the 200-day SMA

NZDUSD had been in a recovery mode since early August But 200-day SMA rejects advance after dovish RBNZ meeting Oscillators deteriorate, yet remain neutral-to-positive NZDUSD had been steadily regaining ground since the beginning of the month after finding its footing near the previous 2024 low of 0.5851 registered in April. However, the rebound paused at the 200-day simple moving average (SMA), with the bears getting aided by a dovish RBNZ rate decision on Wednesday.
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Technical Analysis – NZDUSD at key resistance area ahead of the RBNZ

NZDUSD continues to climb higher Strong reaction following the recent correction Momentum indicators are turning bullish NZDUSD is trading higher again today, recording its ninth green candle in the past 11 sessions and cancelling out almost completely the recent correction. The overall sentiment has improved following last week’s rout with the market now focusing on the RBNZ meeting held during tomorrow’s Asian session.
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Market Comment – Stocks edge up in calm before the storm

Stocks edge higher as gold benefits from geopolitical risks Pound rallies despite shock claimant count change French political issues return to the foreground RBNZ meeting could lead to significant kiwi underperformance Stocks edge higher as gold climb continues  It was another uneventful session yesterday with most stock indices continuing to recover from last week’s rout.
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Will the RBNZ start cutting rates sooner than later – Preview

RBNZ could keep interest rates steady but signal easing sooner rather than later Economic picture shows signs of stress but no red flags yet NZDUSD approaches 0.6060-0.6080 resistance territory   NZ employment data sway rate cut bets Q2 employment data from New Zealand exceeded the forecasts, leading to a reevaluation of rate cut expectations and a subsequent bullish movement in NZDUSD.
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Week Ahead – US CPI to test market nerves, RBNZ might cut rates

Market turmoil has eased, but will US CPI stir things up again? Crucial week for sterling as UK CPI, GDP and retail sales on the way The RBNZ is edging closer to a rate cut, but will it be next week? Japanese GDP, Australian jobs and Chinese data eyed too US economy worries take front and centre The panic about the US economy being on the verge of a recession has mostly eased but markets remain jittery.
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Market Comment – Sentiment improves after drop in US jobless claims

US dollar gains as data ease further recession concerns Aussie benefits the most, also helped by RBA’s Bullock Wall Street rebounds, oil and gold gain as well   Jobless claims drop the most in nearly a year The US dollar ended Thursday mixed against the other major currencies, even though it received a boost from the better-than-expected initial jobless claims for last week.
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Midweek Technical Look – GBPUSD, NZDUSD, Oil

GBPUSD retains bearish bias as key support region comes under the spotlight NZDUSD charts bullish double bottom pattern as RBNZ rate decision awaited  WTI oil futures rotate higher after touching important pivot area  
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Technical Analysis – NZDUSD is a top performer today

NZDUSD exhibits strongest day in three months, backs double bottom formation Technical signals are on the bullish side; crucial resistance seen near 0.6065   NZDUSD rose exponentially by more than 1.0% on Wednesday, becoming one of the best performing major pairs today as stronger-than-expected NZ jobs data trimmed expectations of a 25bps rate cut next week, and safe-haven flows eased.
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Technical Analysis – NZDUSD jumps aggressively higher

NZDUSD records a sizeable green candle today Strong reaction following the recent acute correction Momentum indicators are mixed, bearish pressure weakening NZDUSD is edging aggressively higher today, cancelling out a good part of the recent correction that led to a new 9-month low. The overall positive market sentiment and the stronger labour market data from New Zealand during the Asian session have helped NZDUSD climb higher as the RBNZ is preparing for next week’s rate-settin
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Market Comment – Yen weakens as positive market sentiment lingers

Markets continue to recover led by the Nikkei 225 index BoJ comments result in yen underperformance Light calendar again today, focus on geopolitics Kiwi benefits from strong labour market data The Nikkei 225 index sets the tone for recovery The positive momentum persisted yesterday as the key US stock indices finished in the green, recovering a tad from Monday’s lows.
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Could data open the door to an RBNZ cut next week? – Preview

Market in crisis mode after Friday’s US labour report An RNBZ rate cut could be on the cards if data weakens China’s problems hamper progress in the region Kiwi in desperate need of good data prints Markets in disarray With the market digesting last week’s events, especially Friday’s US labour market report that triggered discussions of a US recession, and the heightened probability for aggressive rate cuts by the Fed during 2024, the focus turns to the Asia-Pacific r
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