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Technical Analysis – AUDUSD battles with 200-day SMA



  • AUDUSD may pause downside move
  • Stochastic and RSI still show negative signs

AUDUSD has been battling with the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) near 0.6630 over the last couple of days, and selling interest has started after its pullback off the 20-month high of 0.6940.

According to technical oscillators, the stochastic is trying to cross beneath the 20 level, and the RSI is sloping slightly south below the neutral threshold of 50.

If the price successfully falls below the 200-day SMA and the significant support of 0.6620, it may challenge the long-term ascending trend line near 0.6590, ahead of the 0.6560 barricade. A decline beneath these lines could open the way for deeper negative movements.

In the positive scenario, if the 0.6620 bar acts as a turning point, then the bulls could try to overcome the 0.6655 resistance and meet the bearish cross within the 20- and 50-day SMAs at 0.6750.

To sum up, AUDUSD has been bearish over the last month, but the bigger picture remains bullish as long as it stands beyond the rising trend line.

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