Dollar chart shows speculative shorts are vulnerable
Oct 10 (Reuters) -FX traders could well take the U.S. dollar higher to probe a key technical level, a break above which would likely lead toa much bigger rise.
The USD index, which tracks the dollar against a basket of six major currencies, has registered four daily closes in a row above the 102.434 Fibo: a 38.2% retrace of the 106.13 to 100.15 (June to September) drop.
Scope is growingfor gains to the top of the thickening daily cloud that currently spans the 101.843-103.320 region, a break above which would unmask the 103.846 Fibo, 61.8% retrace of the same 106.13 to 100.15 fall. Fourteen-day momentum remains positive within the overall bullish market structure.
There is a good chance a continued dollar rise would put pressure on the speculative short positions that are vulnerable to being squeezed in the near-term. Buy stops associated with the remaining speculative shorts, if triggered, would stoke further demand for the greenback.
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Daily Chart: https://tmsnrt.rs/47Y5Cm1
(Martin Miller is a Reuters market analyst. The views expressed are his own)
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